Free Pick 3/16/19

In money line sports (baseball, hockey), should you bet more on a favorite?  Let's say team A is -120 and team B +110.  The traditional way of betting is to bet $120 to win $100 on team A, or bet $100 to win $110 on team B.  But there are other ways of betting:

-Bet $100 on either team.  So $100 to win $83.33 on team A, or $100 to win $110 on team B.  This style of betting values underdogs more than favorites.  It also lets you bet large favorites without having to risk any more than $100.  However, this style of betting is generally preferred by guys who bet mostly underdogs.

-Bet to win $100 on either team.  So $120 to win $100 on team A, or $91 to win $100.10 on team B.  This style of betting values favorites and underdogs about the same.  A slightly different version of this style is to add 10% to the underdog win amount.  It lets you bet large underdogs with less risk than the other betting styles.  A +250 dog would be $40 to win $100, or $44 to win $110. 

So which style is best?  I'll cover that in a future post.  But here's a hint:  It's not the traditional way mentioned in the first paragraph.

Not many games on the board right now, so here's one for Saturday morning -

Premier League bet - Leicester City / Burnley Over 2.5 -110



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Free EPL Pick 10/9/22

Image
  College football  was 11-5 yesterday.  Also another winner in baseball on the Phillies.   However,  one day doesn't define winning.  Long-term winning is defined by years of consistency.   I have over 11K picks documented online since 2017, never a losing year.   Come join a proven winner. Free EPL Pick won yesterday so let's go for another: Everton vs Man United Over 2.5  -120
Read more

Free UCL Picks 10/11/22

Image
  NHL  starts today.  I have 5 picks for the first 2 days of the season, sent to members days ago.  Also have 3 baseball picks today.  A bunch of college football already sent to take advantage of value on early lines.  Become a member and start betting early to get the best value. I have 6 UCL picks for today and tomorrow.  Here's the 2 for today for free.  
Read more

Free NFL Pick 10/23/22

Image
  Yesterday college football 11-5, NHL 4-1, EPL 1-0, MLB 1-0.  Total 17-6 overall.  A good day that probably impresses the social media fools, but what should impress you is over 11K picks since 2017 without a losing year.  Long-term winning unmatched by anyone online.  All documented for anyone to review.  Go look for anyone with over 10K documented picks and a winning record.  Search everywhere. Spend all day looking. You won't find anyone except me.  Nobody else. Not the guys with million dollar marketing who scream real loud when they occasionally win. Not the guys with lots of social media following. Nobody. So if you really want to win long-term betting on sports, join me and start winning like a pro.  You will get the picks as soon as I bet them.  So you will be betting early to take advantage of opening lines. Then watch the line move and create closing line value by game time.  No multiple unit games, all bets are 1 unit (occasionally less than 1 unit), no game of the mont
Read more