Free Pick 3/16/19

In money line sports (baseball, hockey), should you bet more on a favorite?  Let's say team A is -120 and team B +110.  The traditional way of betting is to bet $120 to win $100 on team A, or bet $100 to win $110 on team B.  But there are other ways of betting:

-Bet $100 on either team.  So $100 to win $83.33 on team A, or $100 to win $110 on team B.  This style of betting values underdogs more than favorites.  It also lets you bet large favorites without having to risk any more than $100.  However, this style of betting is generally preferred by guys who bet mostly underdogs.

-Bet to win $100 on either team.  So $120 to win $100 on team A, or $91 to win $100.10 on team B.  This style of betting values favorites and underdogs about the same.  A slightly different version of this style is to add 10% to the underdog win amount.  It lets you bet large underdogs with less risk than the other betting styles.  A +250 dog would be $40 to win $100, or $44 to win $110. 

So which style is best?  I'll cover that in a future post.  But here's a hint:  It's not the traditional way mentioned in the first paragraph.

Not many games on the board right now, so here's one for Saturday morning -

Premier League bet - Leicester City / Burnley Over 2.5 -110



Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Fees / Betting Fund / Line Movement

At the All-Star break, baseball is down -3.8 units, -0.91% ROI.  The Unders have been terrific at 139-119, 53.9%.  The sides have dragged down the overall record.  The season win totals look to be on pace for another profitable year, and added together with the season record it looks to be a profitable year overall.  I do expect the rest of the season to be very good.  Click on the baseball link above for a complete list of every game bet this year. EPL / NHL Every Friday I'll still post picks here for free until the end of August.   The EPL starts in August so I may put those picks on Pickmonitor.  I haven't decided on how to offer them yet, so look for an announcement in the first week of August.  I also may put the NHL picks on Pickmonitor starting in October.  Of course football and basketball will still be on there.  I'm considering one all-inclusive price for everything, but don't worry it won't be expensive.  I reall...
Read more