EppleySports

  I get this question a lot.  Some guy on social media or on one of the bet tracker sites will have a losing record, so just fade his picks and you will win right?  I'll get an email saying hey check this guy out on whatever website, man he's awful.  Should we just fade his picks? Short answer is no.  In basketball and football against-the-spread or total bets with standard -110 lines, the ROI for 50% is -4.3%. So fading a 50% handicapper would also give you a -4.3% ROI. The point to understand here is that a negative ROI doesn't mean fading those picks would produce a positive ROI. At -110, a winning percentage of 52.5% is a 0.23% ROI. The very opposite winning percentage of 47.5% is a -9.3% ROI. Nearly all bettors, 99% of them, will fall between 47.5% and 52.5% in the long run. Finding someone below 47.5% or below -9.3% ROI is as rare as finding someone with a winning record. One last thing. Even if you found a guy with a 45% winning percentage with 1000 picks, he's s

  Basketball, football, hockey , and soccer all having a winning year.  The last 3 months has members up about 37 units across all sports.  That's $3700 for a $100 bettor.   Check out all the documented results on Betstamp.app.   Download the app and type EppleySports in the search bar.   Here's a snapshot of the results. EppleySports's Analysis NET PROFIT ROI CLV AVERAGE BET SIZE CLV BEST AVAILABLE RECORD W-L-P SAMPLE SIZE EPL $58 18.5% 2% $100.00 0% 1.5-1-0.5 3 ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE $2.36 0.1% 0% $77.74 0% 16-21-4 41 MLB $553.67 3.6% 2.7% $83.31 1.3% 81-62-11 154 NBA -$81.42 -1.4% 2.8% $100.00 1.6% 27-26-0 53 NCAAB $665 38.6% 4.4% $100.00 1.9% 11-4-1 16 NCAAF $2354.27 12.7% 4.1% $100.26 2% 100-71-1 182 NFL -$180.70 -1.7% 1.5% $101.37 0% 51-48-1 105 NHL $169.01 3.7% 1.7% $51.78 0.5% 38-34-0 76 UCL $62.42 12.5% 2.7% $86.90 -1.1% 2-1.0-2.0 5 UEFA - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE $212.67 60.8% 0% $78.17 0% 3-0-1 4 UEFA - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE -$119.89 -11.3% 0% $80.10 0% 5-7-0 12 OVERALL $3695