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Showing posts from November, 2019

Weekend 11/29 - 12/2/19

Hope everyone had a good Thanksgiving.   Lots on the schedule this weekend, so let's try to make it a profitable one. The free picks got back in the win column, but overall it's been a disappointing month for members.  I know some of the new guys who just recently signed-up think I'm the worst handicapper on the planet, but use proper money management and the profit will come.  Everyone who has been a member since last year knows it will turn around for us.  Not one "you suck"  email from any of them.  I appreciate it guys. Friday College Football Central Michigan -11.5 vs Toledo Saturday College Football Miami FL -8.5 vs Duke Sunday  Premier League Sheffield United +0.5 -111 vs Wolverhampton NFL NY Jets vs Cincinnati Over 41.5 NBA Miami -3 vs Brooklyn College Basketball Colorado State -7.5 vs Utah Valley

Free Pick 11/27/19

Split in the Champions League yesterday.  Bayern flew over the total for an easy winner, and it looked like PSG and Real would stay under with the score 1-0 at 79 minutes.  Then the fireworks show started. Oh boy Eppley do we need a winner, you know we over bet our bankroll and can't afford more than 3 losses. Champions League Genk vs Salzburg Over 3.5  -115  NBA Oklahoma City vs Portland Over 221

Free Pick 11/26/19

The weekend was slightly profitable for members.  Daily guys I think won, but if there's anyone who paid daily and lost just send me an email and I'll give you a free week.  It's hard for me to keep track of the daily guys, so just remind me. The free picks lost, first bad streak for them in a while.  Let's get back on track. Champions League PSG / Real Madrid Under 3  -115.    You might find some Under 3.25 at some books.

Weekend 11/22 - 11/25/19

Free pick won again yesterday.  It's a busy weekend of sports, so here's a few to help you make some money.  You can use the pay links to get all the picks for a day or a week, or send an email to become a season long member. Friday College Football Colorado State +6.5 vs Wyoming.  Members have this at +7 which is why it's good to sign-up. Saturday Premier League Bournemouth +191 vs Wolverhampton College Football South Alabama +10 vs Georgia St Sunday Premier League Sheffield United +0.5 -132 vs Manchester United NFL NY Jets +3 vs Oakland Monday NFL LA Rams +3 vs Baltimore

Free Pick 11/21/19

Another winning day yesterday.  Check the documented and verified record on Pickmonitor.  Let's get right to the free winner. College Basketball Wyoming -2 vs UL Lafayette W L %ROI Pick Type 728 597 6.98 Basketball 470 375 8.26 Basketball point spread 312 260 5.98 NCAA Basketball 303 252 6.12 NCAA Basketball point spread

Free Pick 11/20/19

Another winning day yesterday for members.  It's been a nice run the last week or so, I don't know the exact numbers off the top of my head.   You can always click on the Pickmonitor link to see the record for yourself. It's a busy day tomorrow, so let's get to the free winner. College Football Akron vs Miami OH Under 43.    I sent this to members on Monday at 44.5, some might have 45.  I think there's value down to 41.5. 

Free Pick 11/19/19

It was a good weekend for members, especially in basketball.  And the free picks won again going 4-2 over the weekend.  All picks are documented on Pickmonitor, just click the link above and see the record for yourself.  Do you wonder why social media "handicappers" don't document their picks on a 3rd party website like Pickmonitor?  It's because they don't win and there's no way to change or manipulate their record on Pickmonitor.  I have no idea why anyone would take any betting record seriously on facebook, twitter, instagram, etc.  If any of them were any good, they would have their picks documented.  It's a great time to become a member and start winning like a pro.  This year's NHL record:  All documented W L %ROI Pick Type 56 62 5.11 NHL OT Included Hockey NHL Pittsburgh -126 vs NY Islanders

Weekend 11/15 - 11/18/19

A busy weekend, so let's get right to it.  If you use the pay links for weekly or daily picks, send me an email to get the picks sent right away. Friday NBA Sacramento vs LA Lakers Under 215.5 Saturday College Football Indiana +14.5 vs Penn St Minnesota +3 vs Iowa Sunday NFL Houston vs Baltimore Over 51 College Basketball 860 Pacific -5.5 vs Cal Riverside Monday NBA Indiana vs Brooklyn Under 219 W L %ROI Pick Type 722 590 7.15 Basketball 254 216 5.28 Basketball over/under 414 331 8.37 NBA Basketball 246 209 5.36 NBA Basketball over/under

Free Pick 11/14/19

A nice run the last few days to get everyone to come in from the ledge.  Some of the newer members were ready to jump after a bad week, but I think they are safely back inside now.  No jumping on my watch!  Members from last year just took the bad week in stride, knowing we would be fine.  If you want to have more money in a few months than you do now, it's a great time to sign-up for a season membership. You can also use the pay links on here to get weekly or daily bets.  It's the best time of year with basketball and hockey every day, plus football on the weekends.  NHL Vancouver -134 vs Dallas

5K Documented Picks

I've reached 5K documented picks with a 1.5% ROI on Pickmonitor.com.   Nobody else is above 1% ROI with 5K picks.   For those that don't know, the ROI is how much you expect to make on each bet.  An example: Let's say you bet $100 per game and have a long-term ROI of 1.5%.  That means your expectation is to make $1.50 on every bet - doesn't matter if the bet wins or loses.  If you make 2500 bets in a year, your annual profit expectation is $3750.  About 99% of people who bet on sports have a negative ROI, which means they are long-term losers.  Let's consider a guy who bets only standard -110 bets and wins 50% of his bets.  His ROI is -4.76%.  So he will lose $4.76 on every bet he makes - again it doesn't matter if the bet wins or loses.  At 2500 bets in a year, he will lose -$11,900.   His winning percentage would have to increase to 52.4% to break even in a year.  So what long-term ROI do pro's have?  The very best in the world, less than 1% of sports

Free Pick 11/12/19

Lots of games to handicap with so many sports going right now, so going to keep this short.  Send an email if you would like to sign-up for the season, it's a great time of year to get started. College Football Eastern Michigan vs Akron Under 47.5.   I bet this and sent to members at 49, but still value at 47 or better.

Weekend 11/9 - 11/11/19

A busy weekend, here's some picks to hopefully make it a profitable weekend for you. Saturday EPL Leicester City +103 vs Arsenal College Football Minnesota +7 vs Penn State Kansas State +7 vs Texas Sunday EPL Brighton +0.5 +145 vs Manchester United NFL Arizona vs Tampa Bay Over 52 Monday

Free Pick 11/8/19

So how many hockey games can I lose in overtime in one day.  Well I found the answer yesterday was 3.  These things should even out by years end, so hopefully it will be sooner rather than later.  But I'm still ahead for the year even after all that.  And basketball picked up a couple wins, so it turns out the world isn't ending after all. Thanks for saving the world Eppley, now how about a free winner. NHL Buffalo +145  vs Tampa Bay League W L U WP eU eWP ROI Z AOP AUR ADP NHL OT Included 43 50 1.67 46.24 5.09 53.34 1.82 0.16 +123 0.98 2.82 Overall 43 50 1.67 46.24 5.09 53.34 1.82 0.16 +123 0.98 2.82

Free Pick 11/7/19

Anyone who had a daily or weekly subscription should email me and I'll give you a month for free.  I know you're disappointed, but it will improve.  Season long members don't panic, we'll be fine.  Some of you are new this year and don't have a long track record of ever winning so you're worried, I get it.  But I've been doing this for 30+ years, so you're in good hands.  I'm not going anywhere. Not going to disappear, change the name, etc.  I know some of you may have experienced things like that elsewhere. I also wanted to mention that not one returning member from last year has expressed any concern.  It's obviously a trust we've built over time - and an increased bankroll. We get it Eppley, bad weeks happen, now what about that free winner. NHL Florida -110 vs Washington

Free Pick 11/6/19

I think these college football committee  members should have to bet on the games based on their rankings.  They would go broke.  Do they really believe Oregon and Utah would be favorites vs Oklahoma on a neutral field?  Penn State would be a favorite vs Alabama and Clemson on a neutral field?  They need to have someone who makes lines for a living on the committee.  Either a pro handicapper or someone from Bookmaker or Pinnacle.  Well yeah, we agree Eppley, the committee is a bunch of morons, now can we get to the free winner. Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 2.5 -115.   I had the Over in the first match these teams played and it ended a 2-2 draw.  There could have been even more goals in that match as there were blown chances by both teams.  This should be a wide-open fast paced exciting match.  If there's an early goal, it might go Over by halftime as the losing side tries to push the pace even more. 

Free Pick 11/5/19

College football games have been given to members, so get signed-up now to get early line value.  Champions League matches have also been given out.  College basketball starts this week, and the NBA and NHL are going every day, so it's a great time to start winning like a pro.  Obviously it's a busy time of year, so let's get right to the free winner. Whew thanks Eppley, I hate when there's reading or math involved. Champions League Chelsea -114 vs Ajax.  I gave this to members at -102 earlier, but there's still value in this line.   It looks like van der Beek won't play for Ajax.  Even with a rare chance he does go, he's certainly not completely healthy.   Premier League teams have been defending deep against Chelsea, trying to contain their youthful speed while also waiting for the youngsters to make mistakes.  While Chelsea has performed well in league play, they should find it refreshing to play against Ajax because it should be an open, free-flow