EppleySports

  Baseball was 2-2 yesterday.  One loss was the Reds losing 1-0 in 13 innings.  I think they left 1.2 million runners on base, or something in that neighborhood.  Then the Indians couldn't hold an early lead, or a middle inning lead, or a 9th inning lead.  Other than that, they pitched great.  I'm guessing the Indians will be looking for a flame throwing closer in the offseason.  I think we've all had enough of Brad Hand's soft tossing slider.   I haven't bet any overnight baseball.  Here's what I'll be looking for in the morning: Cincinnati (Castillo) vs Atlanta (Anderson)  -  The posted total is 7.5 on the overnights.  If it falls to 7, I would bet the Over at -120 or better. Chicago White Sox (Dunning) vs Oakland (Manaea) - No overnight line.  If the total opens at 7.5, I would bet Over at -115 or better.    Miami (Sanchez) vs Chicago Cubs (Darvish) - No overnight total on games in Wrigley as usual.  Assuming no severe wind,  I'd bet Over 7 -120 or Un

  Yesterday was a slow sports day, but today we have plenty of baseball and the start of the NBA Finals.   I did bet Game 1 of the series, which has already been sent to members.  I also have at least 3 baseball bets today.  You can get all these games by using the pay links on here.   MLB Chicago White Sox (Keuchel, xFIP 3.98) vs Oakland (Bassitt, xFIP 4.49) Over 7 -105.    Neither one of these pitchers is all that great, and neither bullpen is spectacular so I anticipate some runs being scored.  The White Sox and Blue Jays have the worst bullpens of any of the playoff teams.  If this were a regular season game, the total would be 8.5, but the public saw low scoring games yesterday so that's what they will bet today.  

  NFL football this week went 6-4, college football went 4-2.  Baseball was 2-0 yesterday to finish a profitable baseball season. 2020 Baseball season finished 115-88 for +9 units on a 0.5 unit scale.  So it would be +18 units on a 1 unit per bet scale.   There should be some more playoff bets than usual with 8 teams from each league getting in.   Become a season long member for football season, still a lot of football to be played.  The Big 10 and PAC 12 are going to have shortened seasons, but at least they are playing.   NHL Dallas +148 vs Tampa Bay

  College football yesterday was 3-2 or 3-1-1 or 4-1 depending on the TCU line you had.  TCU coach could have chosen to kick the extra point with no time on the clock, which would have made the alumni happy.   Nothing on the baseball overnights, but there might be something in the morning.  The few games that mean something either don't have pitchers yet or there's no line yet.   I have 6 NFL picks today.  Become a member to get them  all and start winning like a pro.   NFL New Orleans -3 vs Green Bay.  You may have to lay -120 to get -3, but don't lay more than -120.  

  Football is 2-0 this weekend heading into the weekend.  Dolphins +3 on Thursday and Middle Tenn +7 on Friday were both winners.   I'll have at least 5 picks in college on Saturday and 5 NFL picks on Sunday.  You can get them all for $25, just use the pay link on here.  9:00AM Kentucky vs Auburn 9/21 6:36pm   W L %ROI Pick Type 352 310 1.91 NCAA Football 142 124 2.24 NCAA Football over/under 10:30AM Iowa State vs TCU 9/21 6:22pm W L %ROI Pick Type 352 310 1.91 NCAA Football 210 186 1.68 NCAA Football point spread 12:30PM Texas vs Texas Tech 9/25 1:21pm   1:00PM Georgia vs Arkansas 9/22 8:56am   4:07PM Milwaukee Brewers (B. Woodruff) vs St. Louis Cardinals (A. Wainwright) Milwaukee Brewers -111 9/25 10:04pm  Risked 0.5 units to win 0.45

  Baseball was 3-1 yesterday.  Also an NFL winner on the Dolphins.   9/25/20 5:00PM Middle Tennessee State vs UTSA 9/23 9:55pm   9/25/20 5:05PM Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Dallas Stars +134 8:59am  Risked 1 unit to win 1.34 Tampa should be -114, a 53.3% chance to win, so they are obviously way overpriced as they have been the whole series.  Dallas +134 is a 42.7% chance to win, but the actual chance is 46.7% so we get a 4% edge in price.   If you wait closer to game time, it's possible you might get +140 as the public almost certainly will bet Tampa at any price.  One of the most difficult things sports bettors struggle to learn is understanding why you're making a bet that's more likely to lose than to win.  Nearly all recreational bettors just bet the team they think is probably going to win, but pro's bet the value in numbers to gain a long-term advantage.  If this game were played 1000 times under the exact same circumstances, Tampa would win 533 times and a

  Well apparently you guys are baseball fans because I get 3x the viewers when I put a MLB pick on here.  Maybe it's just the time of year where baseball is hitting its sweet spot and basketball is winding down.  Baseball was 2-0 yesterday with Cleveland -153 and Oakland +142. Buy the football season or a year long subscription and get the rest of the baseball season included.  Just send an email to get started.   Here's a gift.  Whole baseball card for today. 9/24/20 3:10PM Chicago White Sox (D. Keuchel) vs Cleveland Indians (Z. Plesac) OVER 7.5 -114 7:14pm  Risked 0.5 units to win 0.44 9/24/20 4:30PM Baltimore Orioles (A. Cobb) vs Boston Red Sox (M. Perez) OVER 9.5 -112 7:15pm  Risked 0.5 units to win 0.45 9/24/20 5:15PM Milwaukee Brewers (C. Burnes) vs St. Louis Cardinals (K. Kim) OVER 7.5 -102 7:15pm  Risked 0.5 units to win 0.49 9/24/20 5:20PM Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars 7:41pm  Risked  9/24/20 6:40PM Oakland Athletics (M. Fiers) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (W. Buehl

Basketball Cappermetrics by League. League W L U WP eU eWP ROI Z AOP AUR ADP NBA 575 468 81.87 55.13 230.4 56.24 7.36 2.45 -106 1.07 2.30 NCAA 481 418 31.77 53.50 87.45 54.08 3.24 1.01 -108 1.09 3.08 Overall 1056 886 113.64 54.38 314.73 55.21 5.40 2.48 -107 1.08 3.73 Time Pick Units Risked Units Won 9/19/20 5:35PM [703] Boston Celtics -3 -106 1.06 1 9/17/20 4:00PM Miami Heat OVER 209.5 -103 1.03 -1.03 9/15/20 6:00PM Denver Nuggets UNDER 208 -105 1.05 1 9/15/20 3:40PM [731] Miami Heat +2 -105 1.05 1 9/11/20 6:00PM Boston Celtics UNDER 203.5 -112 1.12 1 9/10/20 4:15PM Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 219 -108 1.08 1 9/9/20 6:05PM [711] Los Angeles Clippers -7.5 -107 1.07 1 9/8/20 6:05PM [707] Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 -106 1.06 1 A very rare NBA free pick: NBA Boston -3 vs Miami 

  Football bets have already been sent to members for this weekend.  Don't miss out on any more line value.  Send an email to get started or use the pay links on here if you prefer.   Baseball is in its last week, but there is some value showing on a few overnight lines.  With the new playoff format, there are more teams still playing for something than in normal years.  Some trying to make the playoffs, and some trying to win the division.  Let's look at a game where a good team is still trying to lock up a playoff spot. MLB Cleveland -181 (Bieber) vs Chicago White Sox (Lopez).   This game is an example of how the public bets.  John Q Public looks at the standings and sees the Sox in 1st place and thinks wow, look at this, I get a 1st place team as a big underdog.   Well, the reality is that Bieber is the best pitcher in baseball and Lopez is an absolute gas can.  Also, the Indians need to win as they haven't secured a playoff spot yet.  This line should be -331, so tremen

  This will be a slow week is sports with baseball in the final week of the regular season, which usually offers very little value for betting because many teams are either out of the playoff hunt or their spot is locked up so they are resting players.  The NBA and NHL are winding down with only a few games left.  Football and soccer are obviously just on the weekend.   Here's a quick recap of the previous week.  Remember you can check all the results on Pickmonitor. Basketball: 3 - 1, +1.97 units Time Pick Units Risked Units Won 9/19/20 5:35PM [703] Boston Celtics -3 -106 1.06 1 9/17/20 4:00PM Miami Heat OVER 209.5 -103 1.03 -1.03 9/15/20 6:00PM Denver Nuggets UNDER 208 -105 1.05 1 9/15/20 3:40PM [731] Miami Heat +2 -105 1.05 1 Hockey: 2 - 2, +0.78 units Time Pick Units Risked Units Won 9/19/20 4:35PM [21] Dallas Stars +132 1 1.32 9/17/20 5:10PM [12] New York Islanders +141 1 -1 9/15/20 5:10PM [7] New York Islanders +146 1 1.46 9/13/20 12:10PM [4] New York Islanders +127 1 -1 Base