Free Pick 4/6/19

Free Picks:

Premier League:
Newcastle United / Crystal Palace over 2.5 +120.  This should be a wide open game with lots of scoring chances.  Only spectacular goal-keeping can keep this from going over.

MLB:
San Diego +105 (Paddack) vs St Louis (Wacha).  In 15 starts last year, Wacha had an xFIP 4.12.  This year his FIP is 4.79, xFIP 3.41.  Meanwhile, Paddack had a great first start this year, FIP 0.75, xFIP 2.33.  We get a good price here because the public isn't aware of how good the Padres are yet, and the Cardinals are viewed as division contenders even though their pitching in suspect. 

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