Free Picks 5/12/19

A winning day yesterday with the free picks going 2-0.  That's 43-29 for the free picks since the start of this blog.  And many of the winners were money-line underdogs. 

Two game 7's in the NBA today.  Generally these game 7's favor the home team and the under.  The home team wins about 71% and covers about 56%.  An unusual trend is that the larger the home favorite, the more likely they are to cover.  Home teams of -3 or less are 0-6 in the last 15 years, while home teams of -4 or more are 25-14.  When -10 or more, home teams are 2-0. 

Last day for the English Premier League.    The only thing really at stake is can Brighton get a draw or win against Man City.  Liverpool would need to beat Wolverhampton and hope City doesn't get 3 points.

Premier League
Brighton vs Manchester City under 3.5 -140.  Also some under 3 plus money out there.
Fulham +145 vs Newcastle United
Everton +210 vs Tottenham.   Game doesn't mean anything to Tottenham and I suspect they have been enjoying a nice celebration after their semi-finals win in the Champions League.

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