Free Pick 6/17/19
Baseball today:
MLB
NY Mets +140 (Wheeler, xFIP 3.85) vs Atlanta (Soroka, xFIP 3.57). Of course the public will love the Braves in this game because they have a better record and the perceived better pitcher with a 1.92 ERA. Soroka has been pretty damn lucky as his xFIP of 1.5 runs higher than his ERA indicates. One of the underlying components is his .242 BABIP, which means balls will start to fall in for hits soon enough. That obviously will lead to more runs. I'll also mention the Braves as a team have been extremely lucky so far. Like Soroka, both Teheren and Newcomb have much higher xFIP than ERA. So look for Atlanta to regress back to a .500 record eventually.
MLB
NY Mets +140 (Wheeler, xFIP 3.85) vs Atlanta (Soroka, xFIP 3.57). Of course the public will love the Braves in this game because they have a better record and the perceived better pitcher with a 1.92 ERA. Soroka has been pretty damn lucky as his xFIP of 1.5 runs higher than his ERA indicates. One of the underlying components is his .242 BABIP, which means balls will start to fall in for hits soon enough. That obviously will lead to more runs. I'll also mention the Braves as a team have been extremely lucky so far. Like Soroka, both Teheren and Newcomb have much higher xFIP than ERA. So look for Atlanta to regress back to a .500 record eventually.
Comments
Post a Comment