Free Pick 7/17/19

Another extra inning loss with the Reds yesterday.  The free picks are doing very well, but the last 3 losses have been in the 9th inning or later. 

Pickmonitor seems to have fixed the grading issue, but the spreadsheet is still the most accurate documentation of the entire year.

MLB
White Sox +112 (Nova, xFIP 4.75) vs Kansas City (Duffy, xFIP 5.27).  Yeah these are both bad teams, but Duffy is an outhouse explosion when he steps on the mound.  He walks over 9% of batters, has a K:BB ratio barely 2:1, and GB 37%.  So lots of runners on base and lots of balls put in play, most of which are fly balls.  Let's take the plus money underdog against this guy.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Fees / Betting Fund / Line Movement

At the All-Star break, baseball is down -3.8 units, -0.91% ROI.  The Unders have been terrific at 139-119, 53.9%.  The sides have dragged down the overall record.  The season win totals look to be on pace for another profitable year, and added together with the season record it looks to be a profitable year overall.  I do expect the rest of the season to be very good.  Click on the baseball link above for a complete list of every game bet this year. EPL / NHL Every Friday I'll still post picks here for free until the end of August.   The EPL starts in August so I may put those picks on Pickmonitor.  I haven't decided on how to offer them yet, so look for an announcement in the first week of August.  I also may put the NHL picks on Pickmonitor starting in October.  Of course football and basketball will still be on there.  I'm considering one all-inclusive price for everything, but don't worry it won't be expensive.  I reall...
Read more