Free Pick 8/17/19

Another winning day in baseball yesterday, check the whole year's results in the spreadsheet link above.   A busy Saturday with EPL, MLB, and preseason NFL.

MLB:

Dodgers (Ryu, xFIP 3.32) vs Atlanta (Foltynewicz, xFIP 5.06) Under 9.5  +100.

EPL:

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Over 2.5  -130.   Both defenses are awful with Aston Villa rated 20th and Bournemouth 17th.   The attack of Bournemouth is decent, while Aston's ranks pretty low.  But obviously playing against bad defenses should help both clubs move the ball.  The expected goals in this match is 3.4, so we will take the Over.


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