Free Pick 8/24/19
Saturday morning soccer.
EPL:
Sheffield United vs Leicester City. Both teams have very good defense and weak attacks, but Sheffield ranks slightly better at both. And they are at home, which is significant in the EPL as blindly betting every home team the last 10 years has produced a profit. Expected goals is 1.38 for Sheffield and 1.07 for Leicester. Sheffield has a 46% to win and 29% to draw. There's a variety ways to bet this game, but I took +0.5 goals at -140. On Pickmonitor the only option was +0.25 -101. You could also take Sheffield at a pk (draw pushes) and plus money or bet them at +245 to win (draw loses). All are good bets, but I'd prefer to win if it ends in a draw.
EPL:
Sheffield United vs Leicester City. Both teams have very good defense and weak attacks, but Sheffield ranks slightly better at both. And they are at home, which is significant in the EPL as blindly betting every home team the last 10 years has produced a profit. Expected goals is 1.38 for Sheffield and 1.07 for Leicester. Sheffield has a 46% to win and 29% to draw. There's a variety ways to bet this game, but I took +0.5 goals at -140. On Pickmonitor the only option was +0.25 -101. You could also take Sheffield at a pk (draw pushes) and plus money or bet them at +245 to win (draw loses). All are good bets, but I'd prefer to win if it ends in a draw.
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