Free Pick 8/25/19
An extraordinary day yesterday with 5 of the 6 home teams losing in the EPL, not even a draw for any of the home sides.
Another extraordinary statistic is the Washington Nationals have led in the 8th inning or later in 18 consecutive games, and have led or been tied in the 7th or later in 56 of their last 60 games. Imagine if they had a reliable bullpen.
Ok I know, let's get back in the win column with the free picks.
EPL:
Newcastle vs Tottenham Under 3 -120. Expected goals is 2.59. Most likely scoreline is 2-0 Tottenham.
MLB:
NY Yankees +155 (German, xFIP 4.02) vs LA Dodgers (Kershaw, xFIP 3.52) Under 8.5 -105. At +155 the Yankees are priced at 39.2% to win, but I have them winning this game 47% of the time. The only real advantage the Dodgers have is they are at home, so let's take the nice plus money price on a great team with a great pitcher. Let's also take the Under with 2 great pitchers in a big ballpark.
Another extraordinary statistic is the Washington Nationals have led in the 8th inning or later in 18 consecutive games, and have led or been tied in the 7th or later in 56 of their last 60 games. Imagine if they had a reliable bullpen.
Ok I know, let's get back in the win column with the free picks.
EPL:
Newcastle vs Tottenham Under 3 -120. Expected goals is 2.59. Most likely scoreline is 2-0 Tottenham.
MLB:
NY Yankees +155 (German, xFIP 4.02) vs LA Dodgers (Kershaw, xFIP 3.52) Under 8.5 -105. At +155 the Yankees are priced at 39.2% to win, but I have them winning this game 47% of the time. The only real advantage the Dodgers have is they are at home, so let's take the nice plus money price on a great team with a great pitcher. Let's also take the Under with 2 great pitchers in a big ballpark.
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