Free Pick 9/12/19
Free picks keep winning. That's 4 or 5 in a row? Maybe more, I haven't been keeping track. My free pick record since the beginning of this blog in March is better than nearly any record you'll find on Pickmonitor or any other site. Use a few bucks from your winnings to become a member and make even more money.
I need another winner, I haven't won enough yet Eppley.
MLB:
NY Mets -135 (Stroman, xFIP 3.94) vs Arizona (Young, xFIP 4.42). Young's numbers appear to be average with a xFIP in the mid 4's and K:BB 3:1. But his BABIP .233 tells us he's due for regression which means he's actually well below average. Stroman's numbers are pretty good with a xFIP below 4 and K:BB nearly 3:1. But he's accomplished this with a BABIP .387. So he's also due for regression in a good way, which means he's even better than his current numbers suggest. Mets have a better bullpen, despite the public's perception their bullpen stinks, and they have a better offense and they're at home.
I need another winner, I haven't won enough yet Eppley.
MLB:
NY Mets -135 (Stroman, xFIP 3.94) vs Arizona (Young, xFIP 4.42). Young's numbers appear to be average with a xFIP in the mid 4's and K:BB 3:1. But his BABIP .233 tells us he's due for regression which means he's actually well below average. Stroman's numbers are pretty good with a xFIP below 4 and K:BB nearly 3:1. But he's accomplished this with a BABIP .387. So he's also due for regression in a good way, which means he's even better than his current numbers suggest. Mets have a better bullpen, despite the public's perception their bullpen stinks, and they have a better offense and they're at home.
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