Free Pick 10/30/19
Free pick won again yesterday. Seems like I could just copy and paste that sentence lately. It was an even better day for members if any of you decide you want to join someone who actually bets on sports for a living. You won't find anyone better for long-term profit. The few guys who do win are not going to be found selling picks on the internet. All the guys you see on twitter, facebook, and other social media are not professional bettors. Even the guys you see on popular sites like vegasinsider and covers are not winners. None of them. And certainly none of the user accounts on pickmonitor are professional bettors. Ask any of them about their predictive math model built on correlative statistics. They won't have a clue what you're asking about because they don't have one, and most likely never heard of one. That's why I'm the only person with at least 4K picks and at least a 1% ROI. Soon to be 5K picks and a 2% ROI. Everyone else loses eventually.
Blah blah Eppley, yeah ok correlative something or another, c'mon just give us another winner.
NHL
Florida +115 vs Colorado. The Florida PDO (shooting% + save%) is 97.4 and Colorado 104.2. The PDO tells us how lucky or unlucky a team has been. Below 100 is unlucky and above 100 is lucky. All teams will end the season between 98 - 102. It's extremely rare to end a season outside this range. So we see that Florida has been extremely unlucky, while Colorado apparently has a horseshoe stuck up its... well they have been lucky. Then consider the Avs Corsi For (CF) is 393 and the Panthers Corsi Against (CA) is 416. League average is 419. This tells us the Panthers will control the puck in this game. These are just a few of the numbers my model breaks down and then an algorithm determines the percentage chance of each team winning. That percentage is converted to a money-line, and I can compare that to the line offered by sportsbooks. Florida should be -127, so let's take the attractive underdog price.
Blah blah Eppley, yeah ok correlative something or another, c'mon just give us another winner.
NHL
Florida +115 vs Colorado. The Florida PDO (shooting% + save%) is 97.4 and Colorado 104.2. The PDO tells us how lucky or unlucky a team has been. Below 100 is unlucky and above 100 is lucky. All teams will end the season between 98 - 102. It's extremely rare to end a season outside this range. So we see that Florida has been extremely unlucky, while Colorado apparently has a horseshoe stuck up its... well they have been lucky. Then consider the Avs Corsi For (CF) is 393 and the Panthers Corsi Against (CA) is 416. League average is 419. This tells us the Panthers will control the puck in this game. These are just a few of the numbers my model breaks down and then an algorithm determines the percentage chance of each team winning. That percentage is converted to a money-line, and I can compare that to the line offered by sportsbooks. Florida should be -127, so let's take the attractive underdog price.
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