Free NCAAB Pick 4/4/22

 

I'm sure you will hear and read lots of worthless opinions about tonight's championship game.  Things like the Jayhawks can't defend the 3.  Well that's true, but Carolina can't shoot even if nobody is guarding them.  They are one of the worst 3-point shooting teams on WIDE OPEN 3's.  So they can't shoot even when they are in the building by themselves.  Kansas doesn't have to guard them.  Carolina wants to score inside and off of offensive rebounds, both of which Kansas is very good at defending.

These one-off elimination games are hardly ever worth betting, but my model projects this line to be -8, so getting Kansas at -4 offers too much value to pass up.

Kansas -4 vs North Carolina.  

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