College football 9/27/2025


 

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Free Pick 10/29/19

Free picks went 4-3 over the weekend.  Hope everyone made some money. Anyone who bought a single day of picks and lost, send me an email and I'll give you a week for free to make up for it.  Ok, I know everyone just wants the free pick so let's get right to it. NHL Washington +100 vs Toronto.  The Capitals xGF : xGA is 6.4 : 5.4, but the Leafs is exactly the opposite 5.4 : 6.4.  The biggest difference is the Capitals block over 14 shots per game, which is terrific defense, while the Leafs block only 10.  The Leafs also have a save percentage under 89%, so the combination of not blocking a lot of shots and not saving a high percentage makes it pretty clear why their xGA is 6.4.  Line should be -138, but the public seems to love the Leafs, so let's take the generous even money price on the Capitals, who should score a bunch. 
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5K Documented Picks

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Free NFL Pick 10/25/20

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  A disappointing day in college football yesterday.   It's one of those days I don't think I would bet anything different if I had to do it again because I beat the closing line in nearly every game, and by 3+ points in many games.  In the long run, that will produce profit.   You can always check my documented record at Pickmonitor that proves it.  A wild finish to the baseball game yesterday.  I didn't have a play on the game, but that 9th inning probably had everyone upset at some point.  And Jansen on the mound again, what are the Dodgers thinking?   I have at least 6 NFL bets today.  The line has moved significantly in 4 of them, which is encouraging for a possible big day.  I'll use a game that hasn't moved much as the free play. NFL Cleveland -3  -120 vs Cincinnati
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