Posts

Should You Fade a Losing Bettor?

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  I get this question a lot.  Some guy on social media or on one of the bet tracker sites will have a losing record, so just fade his picks and you will win right?  I'll get an email saying hey check this guy out on whatever website, man he's awful.  Should we just fade his picks? Short answer is no.  In basketball and football against-the-spread or total bets with standard -110 lines, the ROI for 50% is -4.3%. So fading a 50% handicapper would also give you a -4.3% ROI. The point to understand here is that a negative ROI doesn't mean fading those picks would produce a positive ROI. At -110, a winning percentage of 52.5% is a 0.23% ROI. The very opposite winning percentage of 47.5% is a -9.3% ROI. Nearly all bettors, 99% of them, will fall between 47.5% and 52.5% in the long run. Finding someone below 47.5% or below -9.3% ROI is as rare as finding someone with a winning record. One last thing. Even if you found a guy with a 45% winning percentage with 1000 picks, he's s

Free College Football Pick 11/26/21

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  Basketball, football, hockey , and soccer all having a winning year.  The last 3 months has members up about 37 units across all sports.  That's $3700 for a $100 bettor.   Check out all the documented results on Betstamp.app.   Download the app and type EppleySports in the search bar.   Here's a snapshot of the results. EppleySports's Analysis NET PROFIT ROI CLV AVERAGE BET SIZE CLV BEST AVAILABLE RECORD W-L-P SAMPLE SIZE EPL $58 18.5% 2% $100.00 0% 1.5-1-0.5 3 ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE $2.36 0.1% 0% $77.74 0% 16-21-4 41 MLB $553.67 3.6% 2.7% $83.31 1.3% 81-62-11 154 NBA -$81.42 -1.4% 2.8% $100.00 1.6% 27-26-0 53 NCAAB $665 38.6% 4.4% $100.00 1.9% 11-4-1 16 NCAAF $2354.27 12.7% 4.1% $100.26 2% 100-71-1 182 NFL -$180.70 -1.7% 1.5% $101.37 0% 51-48-1 105 NHL $169.01 3.7% 1.7% $51.78 0.5% 38-34-0 76 UCL $62.42 12.5% 2.7% $86.90 -1.1% 2-1.0-2.0 5 UEFA - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE $212.67 60.8% 0% $78.17 0% 3-0-1 4 UEFA - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE -$119.89 -11.3% 0% $80.10 0% 5-7-0 12 OVERALL $3695

Free NFL Pick 10/24/21

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  The NBA is off to a 3-0 start.  The volume of picks will increase in a few weeks so become a member and stop missing out on winning money.   College football had a rare 6-8 losing day yesterday. It was only the second losing Saturday this year.   Overall 72-54 for the year.   The EPL is 13-16-4 (W-L-T) for a 4.9% ROI this year.  I have a bet on the Tottenham vs West Ham match today.  Picks are documented at Betstamp.app.  Just search for EppleySports.   NFL Kansas City -4 vs Tennessee 

Free UCL Pick 10/19/21

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  The NBA starts today.  A yearly subscription gets you every pick in every sport all year long.  It works out to about 0.25 cents per pick.   College football is now up about 19 units for the year.  About a month left in the season.  Baseball continues to be hot in the playoffs.   The EPL is 13-15-4 (W-L-T) for a +6.2% ROI this year.   The UCL is 3-1-1.  I have at least 3 picks ready for today.  A yearly subscription gets you all the soccer picks too.  If you just want the soccer for today and tomorrow, use the $25 button on here and send me an email for all the picks.   Sporting Lisbon vs Besiktas Over 2.5 +100 

NFL Free Pick 10/10/21

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  The NHL begins this week, and the NBA begins the following week.  Get signed up for the year if you're not already.  Use the links on here for the best price of $500 for the whole year of picks.  It works out to about 0.25 cents per pick.  Most importantly, I actually do win.  All documented for 4 years.  So join me and start winning like a pro. College football has been terrific all year, now 53-34 for the season.  NFL is 20-23 for the year.  Baseball is on fire right now, currently on a 11-2 streak.   The EPL is 10-13-3 for -0.2 units, and the UCL is 3-1-1 for +1.1 units.   Overall another great year as we approach the best time of year for sports.   All bets are documented at Betstamp.app just search for EppleySports.  Previous years 2017-2021 are documented at Pickmonitor.com.  NY Jets +3 -120 vs Atlanta 

College Football Saturday 9/4/21

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  No EPL this weekend, but college football has a full day of games.  I have a 4 year winning record in college football, all documented at Pickmonitor.com.  If you're not already a member, consider joining the only real professional handicapper with an actual documented winning record on the internet.    Nearly all of you reading this are already members.   The few of you who are not yet members can get all of Saturday for $25.  That works out to about $3 bucks per game.  A yearly membership works out to about 0.25 cents per game.  No better deal out there.  Others with million dollar advertising campaigns will charge you 10X more and give you one losing game after another.  Then ask you for more money.   Seriously, if you want to have more money 12 months from now, I'm the only one you will find capable of doing that for you year after year. Currently bets are documented at Betstamp.app.   Just search for EppleySports 

EPL Weekend 8/28 - 8/29/21

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  Last week EPL was 0-3-1 with 2 big underdogs losing.  Overall now 3-4-2 on the season, which is about -0.4 units.  I have 6 matches already sent to members.  Become a member to get them all.  If you just want this weekend's picks, it's $25 to get all 6.  Use the buy buttons on here.  The 6 matches are  Manchester City vs Arsenal Aston Villa vs Brentford Newcastle United vs Southampton Tottenham vs Watford Burnley vs Leeds Wolverhampton vs Manchester United