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Free Picks 9/1/19

For whatever reason, Sunday seems to bring the most viewers here.  Maybe everyone has the day off and wants to spend the day watching and betting on sports, or maybe Saturday was a bad day and you're looking for some games to bail you out of the hole.  That's a scary way to bet by the way, which is why I'll help you with money management when you become a member.   Just send an email to get on the winning path.  Well I know the winners from yesterday are going to try and double-up and the losers are going to try to get even, so I better give out some winning picks.  EPL: Everton +125 vs Wolverhampton.   Wolverhampton has the 19th rated attack, only Newcastle is worse.  Everton has the 2nd best defense, only Man City is better.   It's hard to see Wolverhampton scoring in this match.  Everton at home need to get only one goal to get all 3 points.  Expected goals are 1.61 for Everton and 0.58 for the Wolves.  MLB: Colorado +100 (Hoffman, xFIP 5.19) vs Pittsburgh (B

Free Picks 8/31/19

Well there's about 30 new people who visited here yesterday.  I guess I should thank that fool evo for driving traffic to me.  Last year he did the same thing behind the scenes, which is why I was not going to continue selling picks any longer.  But Michael, owner of Pickmonitor, shut evo down and deleted his rambling nonsense.  Then many of you who were with me last year sent emails and messages encouraging me to continue this year.  Thanks for those, and thanks for returning. Ok, a busy Saturday, let's make it a good one. UFC: Andre Soukhamthath -170 vs Su Mudaerji EPL: Sheffield United +1.5 -135 vs Chelsea.  MLB: NY Yankees -160 (German, xFIP 4.10) vs Oakland (Bailey, xFIP 4.53).  NCAA: Akron vs Illinois Over 61 

College Football 8/29/19

College football starts today, or did it start last week.  Depends who you ask.  Anyway, it's the first day with a bunch of games and I know everyone is excited.    I did bet some games this weekend, but none on Thursday offer enough value. Maybe there will be some line movement to get me involved tomorrow, but  just because they schedule the games doesn't mean you're required to bet.  Ok, I know some of you just shook your head at that last paragraph.  It's college football Eppley!  Of course we have to bet! Well if you absolutely have to bet something, I'd suggest Clemson -36 to kill Georgia Tech.  Obviously Clemson will win the game easily, so the question is by how many.  Recall GT's previous coach ran an option offense, so he recruited players to fit that style of play.  The new coach wants to throw the ball with a more modern style of offense.   But the option players are still on the team, so how well are they going to fit into this entirely differen

Free Pick 8/27/19

College football and NFL season win totals and futures are ready.   Send an email to become a member and get them today. Baseball continues to win even with another 9th inning loss yesterday.  Check spreadsheet above for every bet this year.  College Football: Nebraska over 8.5 wins -135.  NFL: Cleveland under 9 wins +100.  

Free Pick 8/25/19

An extraordinary day yesterday with 5 of the 6 home teams losing in the EPL, not even a draw for any of the home sides.  Another extraordinary statistic is the Washington Nationals have led in the 8th inning or later in 18 consecutive games, and have led or been tied in the 7th or later in 56 of their last 60 games.   Imagine if they had a reliable bullpen. Ok I know, let's get back in the win column with the free picks. EPL: Newcastle vs Tottenham Under 3 -120.  Expected goals is 2.59.  Most likely scoreline is 2-0 Tottenham. MLB: NY Yankees  +155 (German, xFIP 4.02) vs LA Dodgers (Kershaw, xFIP 3.52) Under 8.5 -105.   At +155 the Yankees are priced at 39.2% to win, but I have them winning this game 47% of the time.  The only real advantage the Dodgers have is they are at home, so let's take the nice plus money price on a great team with a great pitcher.  Let's also take the Under with 2 great pitchers in a big ballpark. 

Free Pick 8/24/19

Saturday morning soccer. EPL: Sheffield United vs Leicester City.   Both teams have very good defense and weak attacks, but Sheffield ranks slightly better at both.  And they are at home, which is significant in the EPL as blindly betting every home team the last 10 years has produced a profit.   Expected goals is 1.38 for Sheffield and 1.07 for Leicester.  Sheffield has a 46% to win and 29% to draw.  There's a variety ways to bet this game, but I took +0.5 goals at -140.  On Pickmonitor the only option was +0.25 -101.  You could also take Sheffield at a pk (draw pushes)  and plus money or bet them at +245 to win  (draw loses).  All are good bets, but I'd prefer to win if it ends in a draw. 

Free Friday 8/23/19

Another free Friday for everyone. My Tracked Plays Risked 0.5 units to win 0.55  Washington Nationals +110  vs Chicago Cubs Risked 0.5 units to win 0.51  UNDER 7.5 +101  vs New York Mets Risked 0.5 units to win 0.44  UNDER 9.5 -114  vs Houston Astros Risked 0.5 units to win 0.46  UNDER 8.5 -108  vs San Diego Padres Risked 0.5 units to win 0.52  San Diego Padres +103  vs Boston Red Sox Risked 0.5 units to win 0.5  UNDER 8.5 -101  vs Los Angeles Dodgers These plays are being tracked under the username  EppleySports  at Pick Monitor